Rung by rung

166 graded · every scored rung within 2.4 pts of what we said

When a card said a number was a 30% chance, how often did it happen? Read off the ladder exactly as it was shown.

40+

said 61% · 63% happened166 graded

50+

said 51% · 50% happened166 graded

60+

said 41% · 40% happened166 graded

70+

said 32% · 33% happened166 graded

80+

said 25% · 25% happened166 graded

90+

said 18% · 19% happened166 graded

100+

said 14% · 11% happened166 graded

120+

said 7% · 7% happened166 graded

Results·every projection checked against the box score

Season: 80 of 166 (48%). Hit = met or beat our projection.

Hit the projection

48%

Graded

166

2026 · Week 7

12 of 27 hit the projection

Derrick Henry CIN @ BAL — projected 8145ydsmiss
Bijan Robinson SF @ ATL — projected 8163ydsmiss
Kenneth Walker III

KC @ SEA — projected 74

36ydsmiss

Jonathan Taylor IND @ MIN — projected 7095ydshit

Jahmyr Gibbs GB @ DET — projected 69116ydshit

Bucky Irving TB @ CAR — projected 68106ydshit

Jaylen Warren PIT @ NO — projected 64101ydshit

Kyren Williams LA @ LV — projected 6399ydshit

Aaron Jones IND @ MIN — projected 6126ydsmiss

Christian McCaffrey SF @ ATL — projected 6039ydsmiss

D'Andre Swift NE @ CHI — projected 6078ydshit

J.K. Dobbins DEN @ ARI — projected 5623ydsmiss

Chuba Hubbard TB @ CAR — projected 5333ydsmiss

Quinshon Judkins CLE @ TEN — projected 5296ydshit

Ashton Jeanty LA @ LV — projected 5215ydsmiss

Tony Pollard CLE @ TEN — projected 52129ydshit

Cam Skattebo NYG @ HOU — projected 48124ydshit

Chase Brown CIN @ BAL — projected 4839ydsmiss

Braelon Allen MIA @ NYJ — projected 43104ydshit

Woody Marks NYG @ HOU — projected 4166ydshit

Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ CHI — projected 3822ydsmiss

TreVeyon Henderson NE @ CHI — projected 389ydsmiss

Emanuel Wilson KC @ SEA — projected 35100ydshit

Alvin Kamara PIT @ NO — projected 305ydsmiss

Kendre Miller PIT @ NO — projected 276ydsmiss

Tyler Allgeier DEN @ ARI — projected 2619ydsmiss

MarShawn Lloyd GB @ DET — projected 2420ydsmiss

Breece Hall MIA @ NYJ — did not play

Audric Estimé CLE @ TEN — did not play

Pierre Strong GB @ DET — did not play

Rico Dowdle PIT @ NO — did not play

David Montgomery NYG @ HOU — did not play

Jeremiyah Love DEN @ ARI — did not play

Kyle Monangai NE @ CHI — did not play

6,771 projections graded in public, 166 of them here.

MLB strikeouts 2,034 NFL passing yards 201 NFL receptions 563 NFL receiving yards 478 NFL pass attempts 169 NFL completions 169 NBA threes 753 NBA points 907 NBA rebounds 735 NBA assists 596