Rung by rung

907 graded · every scored rung within 6.3 pts of what we said

When a card said a number was a 30% chance, how often did it happen? Read off the ladder exactly as it was shown.

5+

said 84% · 78% happened907 graded

10+

said 59% · 55% happened907 graded

15+

said 36% · 34% happened907 graded

20+

said 19% · 19% happened907 graded

25+

said 9% · 8% happened907 graded

30+

said 4% · 3% happened907 graded

35+

said 1% · 2% happened907 graded

40+

said 1% · 1% happened907 graded

Results·every projection checked against the box score

Season: 436 of 907 (48%). Hit = met or beat our projection.

Hit the projection

48%

Graded

907

Oct 27

22 of 50 hit the projection

Victor Wembanyama SAC @ SA — projected 2329pointshit
Jalen Brunson DET @ NY — projected 2223pointshit
Zach LaVine

SAC @ SA — projected 21

22pointshit

Cade Cunningham DET @ NY — projected 2119pointsmiss

Jayson Tatum BKN @ BOS — projected 2140pointshit

Michael Porter Jr. BKN @ BOS — projected 2027pointshit

Karl-Anthony Towns DET @ NY — projected 1927pointshit

Stephon Castle SAC @ SA — projected 1715pointsmiss

De'Aaron Fox SAC @ SA — projected 1711pointsmiss

Domantas Sabonis SAC @ SA — projected 1620pointshit

OG Anunoby DET @ NY — projected 1613pointsmiss

Julius Randle BKN @ BOS — projected 1624pointshit

Payton Pritchard BKN @ BOS — projected 164pointsmiss

Dylan Harper SAC @ SA — projected 1513pointsmiss

Paul George BKN @ BOS — projected 1520pointshit

Derrick White BKN @ BOS — projected 1416pointshit

Devin Vassell SAC @ SA — projected 1314pointshit

Duncan Robinson DET @ NY — projected 1312pointsmiss

Keldon Johnson SAC @ SA — projected 1214pointshit

Josh Hart DET @ NY — projected 126pointsmiss

Precious Achiuwa SAC @ SA — projected 114pointsmiss

De'Andre Hunter SAC @ SA — projected 1124pointshit

John Collins DET @ NY — projected 112pointsmiss

Mikal Bridges DET @ NY — projected 1112pointshit

Julian Champagnie SAC @ SA — projected 1026pointshit

Daniss Jenkins DET @ NY — projected 1011pointshit

Malik Monk SAC @ SA — projected 93pointsmiss

Ausar Thompson DET @ NY — projected 911pointshit

Miles McBride DET @ NY — projected 95pointsmiss

Egor Demin BKN @ BOS — projected 92pointsmiss

Noah Clowney BKN @ BOS — projected 93pointsmiss

Neemias Queta BKN @ BOS — projected 97pointsmiss

Kevin Huerter DET @ NY — projected 87pointsmiss

Landry Shamet DET @ NY — projected 813pointshit

Day'Ron Sharpe BKN @ BOS — projected 84pointsmiss

Sam Hauser BKN @ BOS — projected 811pointshit

Nique Clifford SAC @ SA — projected 72pointsmiss

Daeqwon Plowden SAC @ SA — projected 70pointsmiss

Nolan Traore BKN @ BOS — projected 715pointshit

Leaky Black SAC @ SA — projected 62pointsmiss

Ronald Holland II DET @ NY — projected 64pointsmiss

Taurean Prince DET @ NY — projected 63pointsmiss

Javonte Green DET @ NY — projected 63pointsmiss

Chaney Johnson BKN @ BOS — projected 615pointshit

Luke Kornet SAC @ SA — projected 50pointsmiss

Harrison Barnes SAC @ SA — projected 53pointsmiss

Keon Ellis BKN @ BOS — projected 52pointsmiss

Luka Garza BKN @ BOS — projected 52pointsmiss

Elijah Harkless DET @ NY — projected 40pointsmiss

Andre Drummond DET @ NY — projected 410pointshit

Jordan Clarkson DET @ NY — did not play

Danny Wolf BKN @ BOS — did not play

Josh Minott BKN @ BOS — did not play

Terance Mann BKN @ BOS — did not play

10 players ruled out before tip were held off the board and are not graded.

6,771 projections graded in public, 907 of them here.

MLB strikeouts 2,034 NFL passing yards 201 NFL receptions 563 NFL rushing yards 166 NFL receiving yards 478 NFL pass attempts 169 NFL completions 169 NBA threes 753 NBA rebounds 735 NBA assists 596