Rung by rung

753 graded · every scored rung within 8.3 pts of what we said

When a card said a number was a 30% chance, how often did it happen? Read off the ladder exactly as it was shown.

2+

said 51% · 43% happened753 graded

3+

said 30% · 23% happened753 graded

4+

said 15% · 10% happened753 graded

5+

said 7% · 5% happened753 graded

6+

said 3% · 1% happened753 graded

7+

said 1% · 1% happened753 graded

Results·every projection checked against the box score

Season: 423 of 753 (56%). Hit = met or beat our projection.

Hit the projection

56%

Graded

753

Oct 27

19 of 42 hit the projection

Duncan Robinson DET @ NY — projected 32threesmiss
Michael Porter Jr. BKN @ BOS — projected 36threeshit
Derrick White

BKN @ BOS — projected 3

1threesmiss

Daeqwon Plowden SAC @ SA — projected 20threesmiss

Malik Monk SAC @ SA — projected 21threesmiss

Zach LaVine SAC @ SA — projected 23threeshit

De'Andre Hunter SAC @ SA — projected 25threeshit

Victor Wembanyama SAC @ SA — projected 20threesmiss

Julian Champagnie SAC @ SA — projected 28threeshit

De'Aaron Fox SAC @ SA — projected 22threeshit

Devin Vassell SAC @ SA — projected 24threeshit

Harrison Barnes SAC @ SA — projected 20threesmiss

Cade Cunningham DET @ NY — projected 22threeshit

Taurean Prince DET @ NY — projected 21threesmiss

Miles McBride DET @ NY — projected 21threesmiss

Jalen Brunson DET @ NY — projected 20threesmiss

OG Anunoby DET @ NY — projected 21threesmiss

Landry Shamet DET @ NY — projected 23threeshit

Mikal Bridges DET @ NY — projected 24threeshit

Egor Demin BKN @ BOS — projected 20threesmiss

Noah Clowney BKN @ BOS — projected 21threesmiss

Payton Pritchard BKN @ BOS — projected 20threesmiss

Jayson Tatum BKN @ BOS — projected 22threeshit

Sam Hauser BKN @ BOS — projected 23threeshit

Paul George BKN @ BOS — projected 21threesmiss

Nique Clifford SAC @ SA — projected 10threesmiss

Leaky Black SAC @ SA — projected 10threesmiss

Dylan Harper SAC @ SA — projected 10threesmiss

Stephon Castle SAC @ SA — projected 13threeshit

Keldon Johnson SAC @ SA — projected 10threesmiss

Ronald Holland II DET @ NY — projected 10threesmiss

Daniss Jenkins DET @ NY — projected 11threeshit

Elijah Harkless DET @ NY — projected 10threesmiss

John Collins DET @ NY — projected 10threesmiss

Kevin Huerter DET @ NY — projected 11threeshit

Javonte Green DET @ NY — projected 11threeshit

Karl-Anthony Towns DET @ NY — projected 11threeshit

Josh Hart DET @ NY — projected 12threeshit

Nolan Traore BKN @ BOS — projected 11threeshit

Keon Ellis BKN @ BOS — projected 10threesmiss

Julius Randle BKN @ BOS — projected 10threesmiss

Baylor Scheierman BKN @ BOS — projected 11threeshit

Jordan Clarkson DET @ NY — did not play

Danny Wolf BKN @ BOS — did not play

Josh Minott BKN @ BOS — did not play

Mike Conley BKN @ BOS — did not play

7 players ruled out before tip were held off the board and are not graded.

6,771 projections graded in public, 753 of them here.

MLB strikeouts 2,034 NFL passing yards 201 NFL receptions 563 NFL rushing yards 166 NFL receiving yards 478 NFL pass attempts 169 NFL completions 169 NBA points 907 NBA rebounds 735 NBA assists 596