Rung by rung

596 graded · every scored rung within 5.2 pts of what we said

When a card said a number was a 30% chance, how often did it happen? Read off the ladder exactly as it was shown.

2+

said 77% · 72% happened596 graded

3+

said 60% · 55% happened596 graded

4+

said 44% · 40% happened596 graded

5+

said 30% · 29% happened596 graded

6+

said 20% · 20% happened596 graded

7+

said 13% · 13% happened596 graded

8+

said 9% · 9% happened596 graded

10+

said 3% · 3% happened596 graded

Results·every projection checked against the box score

Season: 337 of 596 (57%). Hit = met or beat our projection.

Hit the projection

57%

Graded

596

Oct 27

22 of 32 hit the projection

Cade Cunningham DET @ NY — projected 88assistshit
Stephon Castle SAC @ SA — projected 65assistsmiss
De'Aaron Fox

SAC @ SA — projected 6

6assistshit

Jayson Tatum BKN @ BOS — projected 68assistshit

Domantas Sabonis SAC @ SA — projected 58assistshit

Jalen Brunson DET @ NY — projected 57assistshit

Derrick White BKN @ BOS — projected 57assistshit

Dylan Harper SAC @ SA — projected 46assistshit

Daniss Jenkins DET @ NY — projected 42assistsmiss

Josh Hart DET @ NY — projected 44assistshit

Julius Randle BKN @ BOS — projected 44assistshit

Payton Pritchard BKN @ BOS — projected 46assistshit

Victor Wembanyama SAC @ SA — projected 32assistsmiss

Ausar Thompson DET @ NY — projected 32assistsmiss

Mikal Bridges DET @ NY — projected 34assistshit

Karl-Anthony Towns DET @ NY — projected 33assistshit

Egor Demin BKN @ BOS — projected 32assistsmiss

Paul George BKN @ BOS — projected 37assistshit

Nique Clifford SAC @ SA — projected 20assistsmiss

Malik Monk SAC @ SA — projected 26assistshit

De'Andre Hunter SAC @ SA — projected 22assistshit

Zach LaVine SAC @ SA — projected 23assistshit

Devin Vassell SAC @ SA — projected 28assistshit

Elijah Harkless DET @ NY — projected 20assistsmiss

Kevin Huerter DET @ NY — projected 20assistsmiss

Duncan Robinson DET @ NY — projected 22assistshit

Miles McBride DET @ NY — projected 21assistsmiss

OG Anunoby DET @ NY — projected 22assistshit

Nolan Traore BKN @ BOS — projected 23assistshit

Chaney Johnson BKN @ BOS — projected 22assistshit

Day'Ron Sharpe BKN @ BOS — projected 20assistsmiss

Michael Porter Jr. BKN @ BOS — projected 22assistshit

Danny Wolf BKN @ BOS — did not play

Terance Mann BKN @ BOS — did not play

Mike Conley BKN @ BOS — did not play

5 players ruled out before tip were held off the board and are not graded.

6,771 projections graded in public, 596 of them here.

MLB strikeouts 2,034 NFL passing yards 201 NFL receptions 563 NFL rushing yards 166 NFL receiving yards 478 NFL pass attempts 169 NFL completions 169 NBA threes 753 NBA points 907 NBA rebounds 735