Who’s striking out the side tonight?

We simulate every MLB starter 40,000 times and rank tonight’s strikeout plays. Then we check our own accuracy in public.

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Tonight's top three

board of 2026-07-28

Gavin Williams (CLE) — 34% chance of 8+ strikeouts

Chris Sale (ATL) — 22% to clear his 7.5 line22% chance of 8+ strikeouts

Peter Lambert (HOU) — 48% to clear his 5.5 line15% chance of 8+ strikeouts

Method

1

We simulate each start 40,000 times.

2

We screen for red flags: tired arms, quick managers, weather.

3

We check every projection against the box score and publish how accurate we've been.