2.45 K
-0.49
27%
55%
Every start we published on Gage Jump, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 5.8 | 3–9 | 7 | -1.2 | 21% → no |
| 2026-08-31 | 5.8 | 3–9 | 2 | +3.8 | 21% → no |
| 2026-08-25 | 5.2 | 3–8 | 9 | -3.8 | 15% → yes |
| 2026-08-20 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 3 | +1.2 | 8% → no |
| 2026-08-14 | 6.7 | 4–9 | 1 | +5.7 | 34% → no |
| 2026-08-08 | 5.0 | 3–8 | 11 | -6.0 | 12% → yes |
| 2026-08-02 | 5.1 | 3–8 | 5 | +0.1 | 12% → no |
| 2026-07-28 | 4.8 | 2–8 | 7 | -2.1 | 11% → no |
| 2026-07-22 | 4.5 | 2–7 | 5 | -0.5 | 9% → no |
| 2026-07-17 | 6.2 | 3–10 | 8 | -1.8 | 29% → yes |
| 2026-07-11 | 6.3 | 3–10 | 7 | -0.7 | 31% → no |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.