1.86 K
+0.30
27%
64%
Every start we published on Nolan McLean, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | 6.9 | 4–11 | 5 | +1.9 | 41% → no |
| 2026-09-04 | 5.2 | 3–8 | 7 | -1.8 | 14% → no |
| 2026-08-29 | 5.9 | 3–9 | 4 | +1.9 | 23% → no |
| 2026-08-23 | 6.1 | 4–9 | 6 | +0.1 | 23% → no |
| 2026-08-17 | 6.2 | 4–9 | 3 | +3.2 | 23% → no |
| 2026-08-11 | 7.1 | 4–11 | 3 | +4.1 | 42% → no |
| 2026-08-06 | 5.6 | 3–9 | 8 | -2.4 | 20% → yes |
| 2026-07-30 | 6.7 | 4–10 | 6 | +0.7 | 35% → no |
| 2026-07-25 | 5.6 | 3–8 | 7 | -1.4 | 16% → no |
| 2026-07-19 | 7.4 | 4–11 | 10 | -2.6 | 47% → yes |
| 2026-07-10 | 6.6 | 3–10 | 7 | -0.4 | 36% → no |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.