2.43 K
+0.59
22%
56%
Every start we published on Braxton Ashcraft, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | 5.9 | 4–9 | 9 | -3.1 | 21% → yes |
| 2026-08-30 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 3 | +1.6 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-24 | 5.0 | 3–8 | 2 | +3.0 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-18 | 5.0 | 3–8 | 4 | +1.0 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-13 | 4.8 | 2–8 | 10 | -5.1 | 12% → yes |
| 2026-08-06 | 5.5 | 3–9 | 5 | +0.5 | 19% → no |
| 2026-08-01 | 6.5 | 4–10 | 5 | +1.5 | 30% → no |
| 2026-07-26 | 5.4 | 3–8 | 5 | +0.4 | 15% → no |
| 2026-07-20 | 7.5 | 4–11 | 2 | +5.5 | 46% → no |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.