1.73 K
-0.45
50%
63%
Every start we published on Shane Bieber, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | 3.2 | 1–6 | 7 | -3.8 | <1% → no |
| 2026-08-14 | 4.4 | 2–8 | 5 | -0.6 | 10% → no |
| 2026-08-09 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 4 | -0.6 | 1% → no |
| 2026-08-03 | 3.7 | 2–7 | 6 | -2.3 | 4% → no |
| 2026-07-28 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 0 | +3.6 | 2% → no |
| 2026-07-23 | 3.9 | 1–7 | 3 | +0.9 | 5% → no |
| 2026-07-18 | 4.5 | 2–7 | 6 | -1.4 | 9% → no |
| 2026-07-10 | 4.6 | 2–7 | 4 | +0.6 | 10% → no |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.