2.08 K
+1.06
20%
50%
Every start we published on Casey Mize, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | 4.3 | 2–7 | 7 | -2.7 | 10% → no |
| 2026-09-02 | 4.3 | 2–7 | 4 | +0.3 | 9% → no |
| 2026-08-28 | 3.0 | 1–6 | 1 | +2.0 | <1% → no |
| 2026-08-22 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 0 | +4.2 | 9% → no |
| 2026-08-16 | 3.8 | 1–7 | 3 | +0.8 | 8% → no |
| 2026-08-10 | 3.6 | 1–7 | 6 | -2.4 | 8% → no |
| 2026-08-05 | 4.3 | 2–7 | 1 | +3.3 | 9% → no |
| 2026-07-25 | 4.9 | 3–8 | 3 | +1.9 | 15% → no |
| 2026-07-19 | 6.6 | 3–10 | 5 | +1.6 | 35% → no |
| 2026-07-11 | 6.8 | 3–10 | 5 | +1.8 | 37% → no |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.