1.95 K
-1.07
20%
70%
Every start we published on Cal Quantrill, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | 5.0 | 3–8 | 4 | +1.0 | 12% → no |
| 2026-09-03 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 5 | -1.7 | <1% → no |
| 2026-08-29 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 8 | -3.8 | 6% → yes |
| 2026-08-23 | 4.5 | 2–7 | 6 | -1.5 | 10% → no |
| 2026-08-18 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 5 | -1.5 | <1% → no |
| 2026-08-12 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 6 | -1.8 | 7% → no |
| 2026-08-03 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 4 | -0.7 | <1% → no |
| 2026-07-28 | 2.9 | 1–5 | 7 | -4.1 | <1% → no |
| 2026-07-17 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 3 | +0.6 | 3% → no |
| 2026-07-10 | 3.8 | 1–6 | 1 | +2.8 | 4% → no |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.