2.33 K
-0.50
29%
43%
Every start we published on Kyle Freeland, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 5 | -1.6 | 2% → no |
| 2026-08-14 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 2 | +3.0 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-08 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 3 | +0.5 | 3% → no |
| 2026-08-02 | 4.1 | 2–7 | 8 | -3.9 | 8% → yes |
| 2026-07-26 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 2 | +2.2 | <1% → no |
| 2026-07-20 | 4.8 | 2–8 | 4 | +0.8 | 12% → no |
| 2026-07-11 | 4.7 | 2–8 | 9 | -4.3 | 11% → yes |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.