0.80 K
+0.16
80%
100%
Every start we published on AJ Smith-Shawver, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 3 | +0.3 | 1% → no |
| 2026-09-01 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 5 | -1.6 | 3% → no |
| 2026-08-26 | 3.4 | 1–6 | 3 | +0.4 | 5% → no |
| 2026-08-19 | 3.7 | 1–7 | 3 | +0.7 | 8% → no |
| 2026-07-29 | 4.9 | 3–8 | 4 | +0.9 | 13% → no |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.