1.03 K
+0.40
60%
80%
Every start we published on Rhett Lowder, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | 4.1 | 2–7 | 4 | +0.1 | 7% → no |
| 2026-09-04 | 4.3 | 2–7 | 2 | +2.3 | 8% → no |
| 2026-08-28 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 5 | -0.8 | 8% → no |
| 2026-08-22 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 1 | +2.3 | <1% → no |
| 2026-08-17 | 3.6 | 1–6 | 5 | -1.4 | 3% → no |
| 2026-08-12 | 4.4 | 2–8 | 4 | +0.4 | 10% → no |
| 2026-08-05 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 3 | +0.5 | 2% → no |
| 2026-07-30 | 4.4 | 2–7 | 5 | -0.6 | 9% → no |
| 2026-07-24 | 3.7 | 1–6 | 4 | -0.3 | 4% → no |
| 2026-07-18 | 3.6 | 1–6 | 2 | +1.6 | 3% → no |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.