1.66 K
+0.65
20%
80%
Every start we published on Quinn Mathews, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | 6.0 | 3–9 | 4 | +2.0 | 23% → no |
| 2026-09-03 | 4.4 | 2–8 | 4 | +0.4 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-28 | 4.5 | 2–8 | 7 | -2.5 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-22 | 4.9 | 2–8 | 3 | +1.9 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-01 | 4.5 | 2–7 | 3 | +1.5 | 9% → no |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.