0.87 K
+0.21
50%
90%
Every start we published on Troy Melton, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | 4.1 | 2–7 | 3 | +1.1 | 8% → no |
| 2026-09-01 | 3.9 | 2–7 | 4 | -0.1 | 6% → no |
| 2026-08-26 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 4 | -0.5 | 2% → no |
| 2026-08-21 | 3.6 | 1–6 | 3 | +0.6 | 4% → no |
| 2026-08-15 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 4 | +1.0 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-09 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 5 | 0.0 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-04 | 5.1 | 3–8 | 4 | +1.1 | 12% → no |
| 2026-07-28 | 6.1 | 3–10 | 5 | +1.1 | 28% → no |
| 2026-07-23 | 5.5 | 3–9 | 5 | +0.5 | 19% → no |
| 2026-07-17 | 6.4 | 3–10 | 9 | -2.6 | 30% → yes |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.