2.22 K
-2.11
20%
60%
Every start we published on Trevor Rogers, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | 4.8 | 2–8 | 6 | -1.2 | 12% → no |
| 2026-09-02 | 5.0 | 3–8 | 11 | -6.0 | 12% → yes |
| 2026-08-27 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 7 | -2.8 | 8% → no |
| 2026-08-21 | 4.4 | 2–8 | 6 | -1.6 | 11% → no |
| 2026-08-16 | 4.4 | 2–7 | 6 | -1.6 | 10% → no |
| 2026-08-10 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 4 | +0.6 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-05 | 5.5 | 3–9 | 9 | -3.5 | 19% → yes |
| 2026-07-29 | 5.0 | 3–8 | 6 | -1.0 | 13% → no |
| 2026-07-24 | 5.2 | 2–8 | 6 | -0.8 | 16% → no |
| 2026-07-18 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 8 | -3.0 | 13% → yes |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.