2.19 K
-0.71
27%
55%
Every start we published on Shane Baz, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | 3.7 | 1–6 | 5 | -1.3 | 4% → no |
| 2026-09-04 | 4.5 | 2–8 | 6 | -1.5 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-29 | 4.9 | 2–8 | 4 | +0.9 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-23 | 4.0 | 2–7 | 3 | +1.0 | 6% → no |
| 2026-08-18 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 10 | -5.0 | 12% → yes |
| 2026-08-12 | 4.4 | 2–8 | 2 | +2.4 | 11% → no |
| 2026-08-07 | 5.0 | 3–8 | 9 | -4.0 | 12% → yes |
| 2026-08-01 | 5.3 | 3–8 | 4 | +1.3 | 16% → no |
| 2026-07-26 | 4.6 | 3–8 | 2 | +2.6 | 13% → no |
| 2026-07-20 | 5.4 | 2–9 | 6 | -0.6 | 19% → no |
| 2026-07-12 | 5.5 | 3–9 | 9 | -3.5 | 19% → yes |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.