1.27 K
+0.23
43%
71%
Every start we published on Nick Lodolo, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | 3.6 | 1–6 | 6 | -2.4 | 3% → no |
| 2026-09-01 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 5 | -0.4 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-26 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 5 | -0.4 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-21 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 2 | +1.3 | <1% → no |
| 2026-08-16 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 2 | +2.6 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-11 | 4.6 | 2–8 | 5 | -0.4 | 12% → no |
| 2026-07-11 | 5.3 | 2–8 | 4 | +1.3 | 18% → no |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.