2.06 K
+0.29
30%
70%
Every start we published on Sean Manaea, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | 4.8 | 2–8 | 4 | +0.9 | 12% → no |
| 2026-09-01 | 4.8 | 2–8 | 2 | +2.8 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-27 | 4.8 | 2–8 | 3 | +1.8 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-21 | 5.9 | 4–9 | 4 | +1.9 | 22% → no |
| 2026-08-15 | 6.1 | 4–9 | 7 | -0.9 | 23% → no |
| 2026-08-09 | 5.2 | 3–8 | 11 | -5.8 | 14% → yes |
| 2026-08-04 | 5.3 | 3–8 | 7 | -1.7 | 16% → no |
| 2026-07-29 | 5.8 | 3–9 | 4 | +1.8 | 22% → no |
| 2026-07-24 | 5.7 | 3–9 | 3 | +2.7 | 22% → no |
| 2026-07-18 | 6.6 | 3–10 | 7 | -0.4 | 34% → no |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.