1.37 K
-0.19
42%
92%
Every start we published on Seth Lugo, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 7 | -3.7 | <1% → no |
| 2026-09-05 | 2.8 | 1–5 | 1 | +1.8 | <1% → no |
| 2026-08-30 | 3.3 | 1–6 | 2 | +1.3 | <1% → no |
| 2026-08-25 | 3.1 | 1–6 | 5 | -1.9 | <1% → no |
| 2026-08-19 | 3.6 | 1–6 | 3 | +0.6 | 3% → no |
| 2026-08-14 | 4.0 | 2–7 | 4 | 0.0 | 7% → no |
| 2026-08-08 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 5 | -1.4 | 3% → no |
| 2026-08-02 | 3.5 | 1–6 | 3 | +0.5 | 2% → no |
| 2026-07-28 | 3.9 | 2–7 | 2 | +1.9 | 4% → no |
| 2026-07-22 | 3.7 | 1–6 | 5 | -1.3 | 4% → no |
| 2026-07-17 | 4.0 | 2–7 | 3 | +1.0 | 6% → no |
| 2026-07-12 | 5.1 | 2–8 | 6 | -0.9 | 15% → no |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.