1.59 K
-0.45
45%
73%
Every start we published on Kevin Gausman, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | 5.5 | 3–9 | 6 | -0.4 | 19% → no |
| 2026-09-03 | 5.8 | 3–9 | 9 | -3.2 | 22% → yes |
| 2026-08-29 | 6.0 | 4–9 | 7 | -1.0 | 23% → no |
| 2026-08-24 | 4.1 | 2–7 | 6 | -1.9 | 7% → no |
| 2026-08-18 | 5.1 | 3–8 | 5 | +0.1 | 13% → no |
| 2026-08-13 | 4.5 | 2–8 | 7 | -2.5 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-07 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 4 | +1.0 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-01 | 5.1 | 3–8 | 4 | +1.1 | 13% → no |
| 2026-07-26 | 5.2 | 3–8 | 6 | -0.8 | 15% → no |
| 2026-07-21 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 1 | +4.0 | 14% → no |
| 2026-07-12 | 6.5 | 3–10 | 8 | -1.5 | 34% → yes |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.