1.74 K
+0.22
27%
73%
Every start we published on Zack Wheeler, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | 7.2 | 4–11 | 9 | -1.8 | 42% → yes |
| 2026-09-05 | 6.3 | 4–9 | 9 | -2.7 | 24% → yes |
| 2026-08-30 | 7.1 | 4–11 | 6 | +1.1 | 42% → no |
| 2026-08-24 | 6.4 | 4–9 | 4 | +2.4 | 27% → no |
| 2026-08-18 | 6.3 | 4–9 | 7 | -0.7 | 24% → no |
| 2026-08-12 | 6.2 | 4–9 | 5 | +1.2 | 23% → no |
| 2026-08-07 | 6.8 | 4–9 | 6 | +0.8 | 35% → no |
| 2026-08-02 | 7.9 | 5–12 | 3 | +4.9 | 50% → no |
| 2026-07-27 | 6.3 | 3–9 | 6 | +0.3 | 24% → no |
| 2026-07-21 | 7.7 | 4–11 | 9 | -1.3 | 50% → yes |
| 2026-07-12 | 8.2 | 5–12 | 10 | -1.8 | 59% → yes |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.