2.10 K
-0.22
45%
64%
Every start we published on Parker Messick, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | 5.8 | 3–9 | 5 | +0.8 | 22% → no |
| 2026-09-05 | 7.3 | 4–11 | 12 | -4.7 | 42% → yes |
| 2026-08-30 | 5.9 | 3–9 | 5 | +0.9 | 22% → no |
| 2026-08-24 | 7.5 | 4–12 | 4 | +3.5 | 42% → no |
| 2026-08-19 | 6.8 | 4–9 | 10 | -3.2 | 37% → yes |
| 2026-08-13 | 5.8 | 3–9 | 6 | -0.2 | 21% → no |
| 2026-08-07 | 6.1 | 4–9 | 8 | -1.9 | 23% → yes |
| 2026-08-01 | 5.1 | 3–8 | 6 | -0.9 | 13% → no |
| 2026-07-26 | 4.2 | 2–7 | 6 | -1.8 | <1% → no |
| 2026-07-21 | 6.1 | 3–9 | 6 | +0.1 | 26% → no |
| 2026-07-10 | 6.0 | 3–9 | 1 | +5.0 | 27% → no |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.