1.39 K
-0.71
38%
75%
Every start we published on Chase Burns, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | 6.1 | 4–9 | 5 | +1.1 | 23% → no |
| 2026-08-30 | 6.1 | 4–9 | 7 | -0.9 | 23% → no |
| 2026-08-24 | 5.4 | 3–8 | 5 | +0.4 | 17% → no |
| 2026-08-19 | 5.9 | 4–9 | 8 | -2.1 | 21% → yes |
| 2026-08-14 | 6.2 | 4–9 | 8 | -1.8 | 23% → yes |
| 2026-08-08 | 5.1 | 3–8 | 6 | -0.9 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-02 | 6.3 | 4–9 | 9 | -2.7 | 25% → yes |
| 2026-07-21 | 7.2 | 4–11 | 6 | +1.2 | 44% → no |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.