1.86 K
-0.83
40%
70%
Every start we published on Tyler Mahle, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 4.4 | 2–8 | 3 | +1.4 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-30 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 9 | -4.0 | 12% → yes |
| 2026-08-23 | 4.9 | 2–8 | 4 | +0.9 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-18 | 4.1 | 1–8 | 3 | +1.1 | 11% → no |
| 2026-08-12 | 5.2 | 2–9 | 7 | -1.8 | 19% → no |
| 2026-08-07 | 5.9 | 4–9 | 9 | -3.1 | 21% → yes |
| 2026-08-01 | 4.5 | 2–7 | 9 | -4.5 | 9% → yes |
| 2026-07-27 | 3.9 | 2–6 | 3 | +0.9 | <1% → no |
| 2026-07-21 | 4.0 | 2–7 | 4 | 0.0 | 5% → no |
| 2026-07-11 | 4.8 | 2–8 | 4 | +0.8 | 11% → no |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.