2.89 K
+0.86
0%
17%
Every start we published on Clay Holmes, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 4.5 | 2–8 | 2 | +2.5 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-31 | 4.1 | 2–7 | 8 | -3.9 | 8% → yes |
| 2026-08-25 | 2.8 | 1–6 | 5 | -2.2 | <1% → no |
| 2026-08-19 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 1 | +4.0 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-14 | 4.4 | 2–8 | 3 | +1.4 | 11% → no |
| 2026-08-08 | 4.4 | 2–8 | 1 | +3.4 | 11% → no |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.