1.26 K
-0.10
55%
82%
Every start we published on Sonny Gray, checked against the box score. Misses included, nothing dropped.
| Date | Projected | 80% range | Actual | Miss | Big night |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | 5.0 | 2–8 | 5 | 0.0 | 12% → no |
| 2026-09-05 | 5.6 | 3–9 | 7 | -1.4 | 20% → no |
| 2026-08-26 | 5.1 | 3–8 | 5 | +0.1 | 14% → no |
| 2026-08-21 | 5.0 | 3–8 | 6 | -1.0 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-15 | 5.2 | 3–8 | 7 | -1.8 | 14% → no |
| 2026-08-10 | 4.8 | 2–8 | 4 | +0.8 | 12% → no |
| 2026-08-05 | 5.1 | 3–8 | 8 | -2.9 | 12% → yes |
| 2026-07-30 | 4.6 | 2–7 | 5 | -0.4 | 9% → no |
| 2026-07-25 | 4.6 | 3–8 | 3 | +1.6 | 13% → no |
| 2026-07-19 | 5.1 | 2–8 | 5 | +0.1 | 15% → no |
| 2026-07-10 | 6.7 | 3–10 | 3 | +3.7 | 36% → no |
Miss is projected minus actual: positive means we projected more strikeouts than he threw. An actual shown in red landed outside the 80% range. Openers and short assignments are voided and never counted.