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Michael King
SD · RHP vs SF · 4:05 PM ET
thin read
o4.5
line · proj 4.3
44%over
Projected 4.3 K: 44% to go over his 4.5 line. He'd rather get quick outs than chase strikeouts, whiffing just 20% of hitters, facing a pesky lineup that puts everything in play (22% strikeout rate); he's usually done around 94 pitches, which caps how many chances he gets.
Chance to reach each total
594+
445+
276+
147+
98+
49+
<110+
Why this number
Each line is an input the model actually used, and which way it pushed. Nothing here is added after the fact.
- His strikeout rate pulls the number down. his strikeout rate this season. League average is 22.1% of batters faced.21.0%
- The lineup he faces pulls the number down. this lineup's strikeout rate this season. Above 22.1% means this lineup strikes out more than most.21.6%
- How deep he pitches roughly neutral. his pitch counts in recent starts94 pitches
- His manager's hook roughly neutral. how quickly this manager pulls his startersneutral
- Recent form pushes the number up. his recent velocity and two-strike whiffs against his own season norm
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