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Kyle Bradish
BAL · RHP vs TOR · 3:07 PM ET
thin read
o3.5
line · proj 3.6
43%over
Projected 3.6 K: 43% to go over his 3.5 line. Strikeouts aren't really his game; just 20% of hitters go down swinging, facing a tough lineup to put away (19%), the kind that fouls off the good ones; he's usually done around 93 pitches, which caps how many chances he gets.
Chance to reach each total
434+
305+
156+
87+
38+
<19+
<110+
Why this number
Each line is an input the model actually used, and which way it pushed. Nothing here is added after the fact.
- His strikeout rate pulls the number down. his strikeout rate this season. League average is 22.1% of batters faced.21.6%
- The lineup he faces pulls the number down. this lineup's strikeout rate this season. Above 22.1% means this lineup strikes out more than most.18.6%
- How deep he pitches roughly neutral. his pitch counts in recent starts93 pitches
- His manager's hook roughly neutral. how quickly this manager pulls his startersneutral
- Recent form pulls the number down. his recent velocity and two-strike whiffs against his own season norm
The full story is part of MAXOUT Advanced.
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